1987 World Series Preview

St. Louis Cardinals 95-67 NL Champions vs Minnesota Twins 85-77 AL Champions

Catcher
MIN Tim Laudner .191/.252/.389 16 HR -1.5 BFW 4 WS 12 FRAR 1.1 WARP3
STL Tony Pena .214/.281/.307 5 HR -1.3 BFW 6 WS 28 FRAR 2.4 WARP3

Pena is a much better fielder, but Laudner has the power advantage.

First Base
MIN Kent Hrbek .285/.389/.545 34 HR 1.0 BFW 25 WS 18 FRAR 7.9 WARP3
STL Jim Lindeman .208/.253/.386 8 HR -1.2 BFW 3 WS 5 FRAR 0.4 WARP3

Jack Clark (7.8 WARP3) probably would have been the NL MVP if he had been able to finish the season. Unfortunately for the Cardinals,their only real home run threat hurt his ankle on September 9th and will not be available for this series.

Second Base
MIN Steve Lombardozzi .238/.298/.352 8 HR -1.4 BFW 10 WS 16 FRAR 1.9 WARP3
STL Tom Herr .263/.346/.331 2 HR -1.2 BFW 16 WS 18 FRAR 3.8 WARP3

Slight advantage to the Cardinals.

Shortstop
MIN Greg Gagne .265/.310/.430 10 HR 2.3 BFW 18 WS 44 FRAR 6.2 WARP3
STL Ozzie Smith .303/.392/.383 0 HR 4.3 BFW 33 WS 62 FRAR 11.6 WARP3

Greg Gagne is a great fielding shortstop, but Ozzie Smith is in a whole other league. Smith also has the advantage at the plate and on the base paths.

Third Base
MIN Gary Gaetti .257/.303/.485 31 HR -0.2 BFW 17 WS 20 FRAR 5.0 WARP3
STL Jose Oquendo .286/.408/.335 1 HR 1.3 BFW 11 WS 17 FRAR 3.5 WARP3

Terry Pendleton may still play some in the series, but his pulled rib cage will limit his ability, so Oquendo will likely get the start. Advantage Twins.

Left Field
MIN Dan Gladden .249/.313/.361 8 HR -1.0 BFW 9 WS 22 FRAR 3.3 WARP3
STL Vince Coleman .298/.363/.358 3 HR 0.1 BFW 24 WS 9 FRAR 5.2 WARP3

Coleman is one of the major threats the Cardinals have on the bases, so his low slugging percentage may be a little misleading, as he often turns singles into doubles. In any event, this is an advantage for the Cardinals.

Center Field
MIN Kirby Puckett .332/.367/.534 28 HR 2.0 BFW 29 WS 15 FRAR 7.6 WARP3
STL Willie McGee .285/.312/.434 11 HR -1.5 BFW 17 WS 13 FRAR 3.9 WARP3

With Pendleton and Clark injured, McGee is the only Cardinal left with double-digit home runs. Still, a big advantage for Puckett.

Right Field
MIN Tom Brunansky .259/.352/.489 32 HR 0.7 BFW 20 WS 19 FRAR 6.2 WARP3
STL Curt Ford .285/.325/.408 3 HR 0.0 BFW 7 WS 17 FRAR 2.9 WARP3

Though Brunansky didn’t win the ALCS MVP, there wouldn’t have been much of an argument if he had. A power hitter who gets on base at a better rate than Ford, Brunansky gives the Twins a clear advantage.

Bench
MIN Don Baylor .286/.397/.306 0 HR -0.1 BFW 1 WS 0 FRAR 0.2 WARP3
MIN Al Newman .221/.298/.303 0 HR -1.3 BFW 6 WS 19 FRAR 1.7 WARP3
MIN Randy Bush .253/.349/.413 11 HR -0.5 BFW 9 WS 5 FRAR 2.3 WARP3
MIN Roy Smalley .275/.352/.411 8 HR -0.6 BFW 8 WS -2 FRAR 1.5 WARP3
MIN Gene Larkin .266/.340/.382 4 HR -0.9 BFW 5 WS 1 FRAR 0.9 WARP3
MIN Mark Davidson .267/.321/.327 1 HR -0.6 BFW 3 WS 8 FRAR 1.1 WARP3
MIN Sal Butera .171/.217/.243 1 HR -1.6 BFW 1 WS 5 FRAR -0.3 WARP3

STL Terry Pendleton .286/.360/.412 12 HR 0.6 BFW 21 WS 18 FRAR 5.5 WARP3
STL Dan Driessen .233/.309/.317 1 HR -0.4 BFW 1 WS -1 FRAR -0.1 WARP3
STL Tom Lawless .080/.179/.120 0 HR -0.4 BFW 0 WS 1 FRAR -0.2 WARP3
STL Tom Pagnozzi .188/.250/.333 2 HR -0.5 BFW 1 WS 4 FRAR 0.3 WARP3
STL Steve Lake .251/.289/.346 2 HR -0.8 BFW 5 WS 18 FRAR 2.0 WARP3
STL John Morris .261/.314/.408 3 HR -0.5 BFW 4 WS 7 FRAR 1.3 WARP3
STL Lance Johnson .220/.270/.288 0 HR -0.6 BFW 0 WS 1 FRAR 0.0 WARP3

The injuries to the starters create a trickle-down effect for the bench. Terry Pendleton may be able to DH, but the Cardinals aren’t particularly deep after that. The Twins may not have an advantage over a lot of teams in this category, but they get the edge here.

Starting Pitchers
MIN Frank Viola (L) 17-10 2.90 ERA 1.18 WHIP 4.5 PW 24 WS 10.4 WARP3
MIN Bert Blyleven 15-12 4.01 ERA 1.31 WHIP 1.6 PW 18 WS 7.5 WARP3
MIN Les Straker 8-10 4.37 ERA 1.35 WHIP 0.5 PW 9 WS 4.2 WARP3

STL Joe Magrane (L) 9-7 3.54 ERA 1.27 WHIP 1.1 PW 11 WS 3.7 WARP3
STL Danny Cox 11-9 3.88 ERA 1.48 WHIP 0.1 PW 10 WS 2.7 WARP3
STL John Tudor (L) 10-2 3.84 ERA 1.38 WHIP 0.6 PW 7 WS 2.4 WARP3
STL Greg Mathews (L) 11-11 3.73 ERA 1.29 WHIP 1.2 PW 12 WS 4.4 WARP3

St. Louis is stacked with left-handed pitchers, an advantage against a Twins lineup that has struggled against lefties. The Cardinals have the depth advantage, but the Twins 1-2 punch of Viola and Blyleven may be enough to get the job done against an injury-plagued Cardinals lineup.

Closer
MIN Jeff Reardon 8-8 4.48 ERA 1.22 WHIP 0.4 PW 12 WS 5.0 WARP3
STL Todd Worrell 8-6 2.66 ERA 1.27 WHIP 3.2 PW 17 WS 7.1 WARP3

Reardon struggled quite a bit early in the season, but seems to have righted the ship since then. Still, Worrell has the advantage.

Bullpen
MIN Juan Berenguer 8-1 3.94 ERA 1.31 WHIP 0.7 PW 10 WS 3.7 WARP3
MIN Keith Atherton 7-5 4.65 ERA 1.40 WHIP 0.0 PW 5 WS 2.4 WARP3
MIN Dan Schatzeder (L) 3-1 6.39 ERA 1.88 WHIP -0.8 PW 0.0 WARP3
MIN George Frazier 5-5 4.98 ERA 1.57 WHIP -0.4 PW 4 WS 1.9 WARP3

STL Ken Dayley (L) 9-5 2.66 ERA 1.35 WHIP 1.9 PW 8 WS 4.0 WARP3
STL Bob Forsch  11-7 4.32 ERA 1.31 WHIP 0.7 PW 11 WS 3.9 WARP3
STL Lee Tunnell 4-4 4.84 ERA 1.67 WHIP -0.5 PW 2 WS 0.9 WARP3
STL Ricky Horton (L) 8-3 3.82 ERA 1.35 WHIP 0.6 PW 9 WS 3.0 WARP3

With the game on the line you would feel more safe with the Cardinals’ group than with the Twins. Dayley is one of the best bullpen lefties in baseball.

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